Nart Cherkessk vs Legion Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
16º
9º
60
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAL
2 - 5
NCH
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
BIO
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SKC
2 - 1
NCH
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
FKP
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 2
DIN
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
NAL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 3
LEG
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
LEG
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 3
SKC
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
0 - 2
LEG
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |