Nardò vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
NAR
31%
28%
41%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
4 - 1
NAR
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 1
USF
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SSM
1 - 4
TAR
16%
25%
58%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
SSM
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BRI
4 - 1
SSM
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SSM
2 - 1
VIC
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
RAA
1 - 0
SSM
43%
27%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |