Nardò vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
NAR
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 2
VIR
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 2
ISC
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IRS
4 - 0
NAR
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 1
FRA
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 0
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
MAT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 2
RAA
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POM
0 - 0
MAT
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 2
NEA
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |