Narcea vs Real Tapia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TIN
0 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 2
SMA
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
NAR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AND
1 - 0
NAR
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Tapia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TAP
1 - 1
DPT
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MOS
0 - 1
TAP
68%
18%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TIN
3 - 3
TAP
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TAP
2 - 1
SMA
41%
26%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
TAP
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |