Narcea vs Real Oviedo Vetusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
60.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAR
83%
13%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 0
NAV
27%
27%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LEA
2 - 1
NAR
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 0
CON
22%
27%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 4
NAR
27%
27%
46%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ROB
0 - 0
MOS
73%
18%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
NAI
2 - 1
ROB
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ROB
0 - 1
CAU
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
ROB
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ROB
1 - 0
AST
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |