Narcea vs Piloñesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
COL
3 - 0
NAR
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAR
2 - 1
PCF
30%
28%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SLA
0 - 1
NAR
23%
25%
53%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
NAR
2 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SIE
3 - 0
NAR
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
PCF
4 - 0
DPT
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
DPT
2 - 1
VAL
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
RIB
3 - 0
DPT
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
DPT
1 - 2
RTI
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
UPL
3 - 0
DPT
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |