Narcea vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 0
NAR
83%
13%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 2
UNI
13%
23%
63%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
NAR
64%
22%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 0
HIS
23%
27%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ROB
5 - 0
NAR
81%
14%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
NAI
0 - 0
MOS
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAI
1 - 0
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CAU
4 - 1
NAI
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NAI
1 - 0
UNI
34%
26%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
NAI
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |