Narcea vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
NAR
3 - 0
PIL
35%
29%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LEA
1 - 1
NAR
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
NAR
0 - 3
NAV
33%
28%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
AST
2 - 1
NAR
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NAR
2 - 1
UNI
26%
29%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
NAI
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PIL
1 - 1
NAI
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
NAI
2 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LEA
3 - 1
NAI
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NAI
0 - 1
GIN
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |