Narcea vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
NAR
0 - 2
UNI
20%
26%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CAU
1 - 1
NAR
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
NAR
0 - 0
TUI
23%
25%
52%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SMA
1 - 0
NAR
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
NAR
1 - 1
CAN
23%
26%
51%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
NAI
3 - 0
CAU
33%
27%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
TUI
0 - 1
NAI
31%
28%
41%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
NAI
3 - 1
SMA
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
CAN
2 - 4
NAI
35%
29%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
NAI
2 - 0
GIN
46%
26%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |