Narcea vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LEA
2 - 1
NAR
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 0
CON
22%
27%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 4
NAR
27%
27%
46%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 2
PCF
30%
28%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COV
1 - 2
NAR
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 1
MOS
53%
25%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAI
1 - 0
NAV
46%
25%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 2
CAU
21%
27%
52%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAV
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
0 - 2
AST
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |