Narcea vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
PIL
0 - 0
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
NAR
3 - 1
NAV
43%
26%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
NAR
4 - 3
TUI
33%
27%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
SMA
0 - 0
NAR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
NAR
1 - 1
HIS
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
LEA
2 - 2
TUI
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
SMA
2 - 0
LEA
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
LEA
1 - 0
HIS
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
RIB
1 - 1
LEA
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
LEA
4 - 1
NAI
69%
19%
11%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |