Narcea vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
TUR
3 - 1
NAR
66%
21%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
NAR
3 - 2
RTI
22%
27%
52%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SIE
5 - 0
NAR
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
NAR
0 - 2
PCF
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
MOS
2 - 1
NAR
63%
22%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
LEA
0 - 1
CAU
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
TUI
2 - 0
LEA
14%
22%
64%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
LEA
2 - 0
SMA
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CAN
1 - 2
LEA
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
LEA
2 - 2
GIN
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |