Narcea vs Deportiva Piloñesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LEA
1 - 1
NAR
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
NAR
0 - 3
NAV
33%
28%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
AST
2 - 1
NAR
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NAR
2 - 1
UNI
26%
29%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LLA
2 - 1
NAR
59%
23%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PIL
1 - 1
NAI
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
PIL
1 - 2
LEA
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NAV
0 - 0
PIL
51%
25%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
PIL
2 - 2
AST
51%
26%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
UNI
2 - 1
PIL
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |