Narcea vs Deportiva Piloñesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
GIN
2 - 2
NAR
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
NAR
0 - 0
AND
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 1
NAR
23%
28%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
NAR
1 - 0
RTI
38%
29%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
UNI
0 - 2
NAR
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportiva Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
PIL
5 - 1
COL
35%
27%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
PCF
1 - 2
PIL
32%
30%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
NAV
4 - 0
PIL
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
PIL
1 - 0
GIN
40%
26%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
AND
1 - 0
PIL
56%
24%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |