Narcea vs Deportiva Piloñesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
NAV
2 - 2
NAR
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
TUI
1 - 1
NAR
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
NAR
1 - 2
SMA
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
HIS
0 - 0
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
NAR
0 - 0
RIB
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportiva Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
PIL
0 - 4
TUI
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
SMA
0 - 0
PIL
73%
18%
9%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
PIL
4 - 3
HIS
52%
25%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
RIB
2 - 0
PIL
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
PIL
1 - 1
NAI
21%
27%
51%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |