Narcea vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
4 - 3
NAR
83%
13%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 2
RTI
28%
29%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GIN
3 - 0
NAR
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 2
LLA
33%
28%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
NAR
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
COV
0 - 2
MOS
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NAI
4 - 2
COV
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
COV
1 - 0
CAU
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 0
COV
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
COV
3 - 1
AST
22%
25%
53%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +3 |