Narcea vs Condal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 4
NAR
27%
27%
46%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 2
PCF
30%
28%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COV
1 - 2
NAR
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
SIE
14%
26%
60%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
RTI
2 - 1
NAR
83%
12%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CON
1 - 1
MOS
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NAI
0 - 2
CON
48%
26%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CON
1 - 1
CAU
20%
27%
53%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 2
CON
73%
16%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CON
2 - 1
AST
45%
25%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |