Narcea vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MOS
2 - 0
NAR
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
NAI
16%
23%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 0
NAR
83%
13%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 2
UNI
13%
23%
63%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
NAR
64%
22%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LEA
3 - 0
COL
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
COL
0 - 4
MOS
43%
28%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
COL
2 - 1
CON
35%
26%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
NAI
1 - 0
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
COL
2 - 1
TUR
65%
21%
14%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |