Nara-ShBFR vs Pskov 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
FKR
0 - 0
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
FKS
0 - 1
NAR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
NAR
1 - 0
TOR
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
NAR
0 - 0
TEK
36%
26%
37%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2005 |
VOR
2 - 1
NAR
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pskov 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
PSK
0 - 3
BAL
14%
24%
62%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PSK
0 - 3
PRE
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
3 - 0
PSK
65%
22%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
DVO
3 - 0
PSK
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
SZP
3 - 0
PSK
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |