Nara-ShBFR vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
VOL
1 - 2
NAR
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
DIN
2 - 1
NAR
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAR
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
NAR
1 - 2
FKR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
FKS
2 - 1
NAR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 2
FKR
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SAC
1 - 0
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
FKS
34%
30%
37%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 2
MYT
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
FBK
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |