Napredak Krusevac vs Mačva Šabac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 2
NAP
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 4
CRV
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
MET
2 - 2
NAP
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 1
BAK
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
FKZ
1 - 2
NAP
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mačva Šabac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAV
0 - 2
MLA
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VOZ
0 - 0
MAV
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAV
1 - 2
ČUK
7%
20%
73%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
TSC
3 - 0
MAV
88%
10%
3%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
CRV
4 - 0
MAV
88%
10%
2%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |