Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ASN
3 - 2
LMU
49%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
ASN
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 0
MPL
46%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
REN
0 - 0
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 2
LYO
19%
25%
57%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIR
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |