Nancy vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 3
MPL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASN
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 2
ASN
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PSG
0 - 0
TFC
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TFC
4 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TFC
4 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 3
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |