Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 1
ASN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 2
STR
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASN
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 0
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
AMI
1 - 1
LOR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
LOR
0 - 0
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
LOR
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 0
FCG
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |