Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 3
MPL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 2
LIL
8%
20%
72%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 3
GIR
36%
27%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 2
ANG
57%
26%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |