Nancy vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
SOC
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LHA
1 - 3
ASN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DIJ
0 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 2
ETG
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 1
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
STL
2 - 1
ETG
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ETG
0 - 0
TOU
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
ETG
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |