Nancy vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 2
STL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
TOU
1 - 1
ASN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
GIR
1 - 1
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUX
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |