Nancy vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ASN
2 - 0
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ASN
1 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
LHA
0 - 1
ASN
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 3
ORL
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
AJA
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
TRO
2 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
DIJ
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
AJA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |