Nancy II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
STR
3 - 0
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 0
VAU
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MEZ
3 - 0
NAN
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -3 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NAN
4 - 1
FCS
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
PAG
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 1
SAR
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STR
2 - 2
ILL
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 2
VAU
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
THA
1 - 4
ILL
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |