Nanclares vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanclares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAN
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 0
IZA
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 0
TAL
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NAN
0 - 1
CDA
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAN
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 1
CON
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 1
TAL
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 0
CDA
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
ELP
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CDV
2 - 1
ALE
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |