Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
JUB
0 - 1
NAG
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAG
5 - 2
AVI
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SUW
2 - 0
NAG
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAG
0 - 0
KAR
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VEN
3 - 1
NAG
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
URA
1 - 1
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 3
KAR
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
OMI
0 - 0
ALB
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |