Nacional vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
76.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
5 - 0
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAC
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAÇ
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AVE
0 - 1
NAC
14%
20%
67%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
41%
24%
34%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 0
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
VIZ
1 - 3
SPB
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCU
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |