Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
5 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
RÑU
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 2
DAN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CAU
4 - 0
TAC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
TAC
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |