Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEP
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAC
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 3
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
OLI
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 5
OLI
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |