Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPT
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 3
RÑU
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
RÑU
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
LQE
0 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 3
OLI
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |