Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 0
DEP
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |