Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
RÑU
2 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
OLI
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
ATM
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |