Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 2
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 1
LIB
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
LIB
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |