Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
AME
4 - 3
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
RPA
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |