Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CCP
3 - 2
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPO
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |