Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
SLO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GEN
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
RÑU
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |