Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
RÑU
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |