Nacional vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
21%
27%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |