NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 3
NAC
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |