NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
TWE
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
RJC
3 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCH
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 3
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
6 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GAE
2 - 0
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |