Muro vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 0
BOR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ELD
0 - 0
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JOV
1 - 1
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LLO
1 - 1
SAG
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
CAS
39%
28%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 4
SAG
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAG
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 1
ELD
22%
26%
51%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |