Muro vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 0
MUR
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 0
CUL
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 0
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ACE
4 - 0
LLO
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 2
ACE
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 0
SAG
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 1
ACE
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ACE
3 - 0
ELD
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |