Murlani vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
9º
8º
20
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murlani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUR
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
KFV
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SOP
1 - 0
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 1
ADA
65%
17%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
MUR
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ILI
0 - 0
VEL
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VOR
4 - 0
ILI
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ILI
1 - 1
NAF
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
ILI
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
1 - 1
KFV
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |