Murici vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 3
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CRB
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |