Murciélagos vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 1
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
CAF
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 1
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UDG
1 - 1
LOB
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAF
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
LOB
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 2
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MER
5 - 1
LOB
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |